Tropical Storm Helene is heading for a major direct hit on Florida and the rest of the US.
Helene is shaping up to make landfall as the strongest storm in America in more than a year.
The tropical storm formed on Tuesday morning in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and has only intensified as it reaches the Gulf of Mexico’s warm waters.
Helene was upgraded to a Category 2 storm and is expected to be a major hurricane – meaning a Category 3 or higher – when it makes landfall on Florida’s northwestern coast.
A National Hurricane Center probable path map shows Helene making landfall on the Florida Gulf Coast tonight between 8pm and 10pm with winds reaching 115mph.
The National Weather Service office in Tallahassee forecast storm surges of up to 20 feet (6 meters) and warned they could be particularly ‘catastrophic and unsurvivable’ in Florida’s Apalachee Bay.
It added that high winds and heavy rains also posed risks.
‘This forecast, if realised, is a nightmare surge scenario for Apalachee Bay,’ the office said. ‘Please, please, please take any evacuation orders seriously!’
Storm surge for the Big Bend area of Florida is predicted to be ten to 15 feet, and Tampa Bay could experience four to eight feet.
Hurricane watch has been activated in Florida from Tallahassee to Tampa. Mexico has also issued a hurricane warning stretching from Tulum to Cabo Catoche.
Governor Ron DeSantis wrote on X (formerly Twitter) on Tuesday morning that the state has nearly 18,000 lineman staged and more on the way and are prepared with search and rescue and roadway clearing crews.
‘Tropical Storm Helene, now formed, is projected to intensify. As always, Florida will prepare for the worst and hope for the best,’ he wrote.
‘Stay tuned to local and state emergency recommendations and alerts. Get preparations in place now for the storm and heed evacuation directives, if issued, from local officials.’
Evacuations started on Tuesday in parts of Florida’s coast. Mandatory evacuations were ordered in parts of Charlotte, Franklin, Gulf, Hernando, Manatee, Pinellas and Sarasota counties.
‘Everyone along the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend region needs to be prepared for hurricane impacts,’ said AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva.
The last time a Category 3 hurricane struck the US was Idalia in late August 2023. It went ashore in the Big Bend region and brought record-breaking storm surge through Tampa.
If Helene makes landfall as a hurricane, it would be the fourth to strike the US mainland of this season.
This article was first published on September 24.
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